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The stock market rally continues, with the Nasdaq reaching a record high and the S&P 500 close to its peak. IBD maintains an exposure level of 80%-100%, emphasizing risk management. Nvidia triggered a sell signal after a 1.7% drop, while other tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon hit new highs. Upcoming economic data and earnings reports from major companies are anticipated this week.
European stocks declined due to political instability in France and Germany, with Chancellor Olaf Scholz's government collapsing and an early election set for February 23. Meanwhile, France's credit rating was downgraded, although European PMI data showed less contraction than expected, easing some tariff concerns. The focus now shifts to the upcoming UK consumer price index data and the Bank of England's interest rate decision, with expectations of further rate cuts in the future.
IG
Tech stocks led the market as the NASDAQ 100 surpassed 20,000 for the first time, while the Dow Jones faced a seven-day decline. Stagflation concerns grew with rising CPI and PPI, and jobless claims hitting a two-month high, prompting expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut.The US dollar continued its upward trend, gold held its gains, and oil prices rose amid geopolitical tensions. Upcoming economic indicators and central bank meetings will be pivotal in shaping market sentiment.
IG
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement a 25 basis point rate cut in December, potentially lowering rates to 4.25% to 4.50%, contingent on inflation and employment data. In contrast, the Bank of England is likely to maintain its rate at 4.75%, balancing inflation control with economic growth.Market volatility is anticipated around both central bank meetings, particularly affecting currency pairs like GBP/USD and interest rate-sensitive sectors. Key economic indicators, including inflation and wage growth, will be crucial in shaping future monetary policy decisions into 2025.
IG
The Nasdaq Composite reached a record high, boosted by a surge in mega-cap tech stocks like Tesla, Alphabet, and Broadcom, while the Dow Jones fell for the eighth consecutive day. Investors are anticipating a 25 basis point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve this week, with key economic data, including November Core PCE, set to influence future policy. Other economic releases this week include retail sales, housing starts, and revised GDP figures.
Bitcoin has surged to a new all-time high, surpassing $107,700, driven by strong spot trading volumes. This remarkable increase highlights the growing interest and investment in the cryptocurrency market.
Ethereum's recent outflow of 108,521 ETH, valued at over $418 million, signals a shift towards holding rather than selling, potentially easing selling pressure and paving the way for a price rally towards $4,000. With the Relative Strength Index at 60.22, there is room for growth before reaching overbought levels. Continued positive momentum could lead to a breakout above the $4,069 resistance, while macroeconomic factors and ongoing network developments bolster Ethereum's long-term outlook.
US stocks rose on Monday, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite up 1.2%, nearing a record close as Bitcoin hit an all-time high above $107,000. Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision, with a 97% probability of a 25 basis point cut anticipated. Meanwhile, China's retail sales missed forecasts, impacting oil prices, which saw Brent dip to near $74 a barrel.
US Treasury yields have surged to their highest levels since late November, with the 10-year yield rising to 4.4% and the 30-year yield to 4.6%. This increase comes amid expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and concerns over potential fiscal policies from President-elect Donald Trump, which could heighten inflation and government borrowing. The recent lukewarm demand for a $22 billion 30-year bond auction reflects investor caution regarding the US government's fiscal outlook and long-term interest rates.
US Treasury yields have surged to their highest levels since late November, with the 10-year yield rising to 4.4% and the 30-year yield to 4.6%. This increase comes amid expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and concerns over potential fiscal policies from President-elect Donald Trump, which could heighten inflation and government borrowing. The lukewarm demand for a recent $22 billion 30-year bond auction reflects investor caution regarding the US government's fiscal outlook and long-term interest rates.

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